@mauve also i will say that i have seen the popular answer shift considerably in the time the poll has been active. i think the longer you run the poll and the more people see the poll. you might end up with a sort of differential equations situation where the equlibrium slowly cycles to the "next" option
@mauve it's also interesting bc it's audience-dependent -- you might expect everyone to pick rock, so you think one step ahead and pick paper, but if everyone else thinks one step ahead then you need to think *two* steps ahead.
also depends on whether you want to win or if you accept ties -- if everyone thinks one step ahead, then you tie; if you decide to bet on two steps, you get your win, but if you take the third step, you lose. so basically betting "how far ahead will everyone else think?"
@trwnh What mechanisms do you envision there to be that result in the "next" feature growing in popularity? I assumed that everyone would start with zero knowledge about what the current highest is due to results being hidden. 🤔
@mauve yeah, but it's only zero-knowledge as long as people don't share or communicate the intermediate results. this is why the length of the poll matters
@trwnh Neat. Would be cool if there was a poll type that doesn't show results until the poll ends.
@mauve i think it's unlikely (or degenerate) to consider thinking more than 3 steps ahead so i guess if you take modulo 3? that's 0/1/2/3 steps ahead. assuming step 0 is "i think this will be the most popular if you disregard the requirements"