To claim the sum 1/[2^n] over the natural numbers is 1 is the same as saying “if you flip a coin enough times eventually you will get heads.” Each longer sequence of tails is half as likely as the previous. And they are disjoint events. But, their sum must be 1. One of them must occur, and all of them end with heads. #math

@futurebird
By definition, a fair coin has to flip heads eventually, the sequence of tails can't be infinite, that isn't a fair coin.

How many sequential tail flips do you need to get before you can choose between it being a low-probability event and actually not a fair coin?

@tetron I think this could be a plot point in testing if one is in a simulation in a sci-fi story. Though I need to think about the implications more.

@futurebird @tetron @gregeganSF has a great plot point related to it where the main character manipulates probabilities. I forget which story it was but I think it's in The Best of Greg Egan or maybe in Sleep and the Soul.

@mauve @futurebird @tetron

That sounds more like the novel “Quarantine”, which is not about being in a simulation, it’s about manipulating wave function collapse.

Follow

@gregeganSF @futurebird @tetron Yes! That's the one. I kinda binged all the books I could get my hands on in a row so it's been a jumble in my head. 😅

Sign in to participate in the conversation
Mauvestodon

Escape ship from centralized social media run by Mauve.